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Iran–Israel Ceasefire

Iran–Israel Ceasefire Turns Asian Markets Green

Markets across Asia surged on Tuesday after a temporary ceasefire was declared between Iran and Israel. The ceasefire, though fragile, triggered a wave of risk-on sentiment, pushing equity markets higher, sending oil prices sharply lower, and boosting hopes for monetary easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve.


Key Market Stats – Tuesday, June 25, 2025

MarketPerformance
🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 (Japan)+1.3%
🇭🇰 Hang Seng (Hong Kong)+1.8%
🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite+0.9%
🇰🇷 KOSPI (South Korea)+2.8%
🇦🇺 S&P/ASX 200 (Australia)+0.9%
🇮🇳 Sensex (India)+1.2%
Commodities & CurrenciesLatestChange
🛢️ WTI Crude$65.98↓ -3.7%
🛢️ Brent Crude$68.20↓ -3.3%
💵 USD/JPY145.44↓ from 146.15
💶 EUR/USD1.1604↑ from 1.1578
📈 U.S. 10Y Treasury Yield4.33%↓ from 4.38%
U.S. Stock IndicesCloseChange
📊 S&P 5006,025.17+1%
📊 Dow Jones42,581.78+0.9%
📊 Nasdaq19,630.97+0.9%


Educational Corner: Why Ceasefires Matter to Financial Markets

During periods of geopolitical conflict, investors typically flee to safe-haven assets such as gold, bonds, and the U.S. dollar. Equities and oil markets often experience volatility due to supply risks or economic uncertainty.

💡 A ceasefire, even if temporary, can reduce perceived risks, encouraging:

  • Stock market rallies
  • Oil price corrections
  • Weakening of safe-haven currencies like the USD
  • Strengthening of cyclical or growth-linked currencies like the EUR


Market Reactions: Ceasefire Effects in Focus


🌏 Asian Markets & Wall Street

  • Markets soared after former President Trump announced a “comprehensive ceasefire” between Iran and Israel.
  • Confidence surged across Nikkei, KOSPI, Shanghai, and ASX as investors bet on de-escalation.
  • U.S. markets rallied Monday despite America’s initial military involvement, suggesting investor faith in a quick resolution.


🛢️ Oil Prices

  • WTI crude dropped 3.7% on Tuesday, continuing from a 7.2% plunge Monday.
  • Fears of Strait of Hormuz closure eased.
  • Analysts cite Iran’s measured military response as a key reason for lowered supply risk.


💵 Currency Movements

  • The yen weakened as demand for safe havens declined.
  • The euro strengthened amid renewed optimism for the eurozone’s economic stability.

Read More: Global Markets React to Escalating Iran–Israel Conflict


🏦 Bonds & Monetary Policy

  • Yields on U.S. Treasuries fell as Fed officials signaled support for a potential rate cut in the upcoming meeting.
  • The Fed is monitoring the effects of Trump’s new tariffs and potential gasoline price shocks on inflation.


🧾 Corporate Watch: Tesla Soars, Hims & Hers Tumbles

  • Tesla (+8.2%) led the charge after announcing autonomous taxi operations in Austin, Texas, reinvigorating innovation buzz.
  • Hims & Hers (-34.6%) plummeted after its partnership with Novo Nordisk on weight-loss drug Wegovy was discontinued.
  • Novo Nordisk (-5.5%) also declined on the news.


Outlook & Summary

The Iran–Israel ceasefire, despite ongoing uncertainties, provided a psychological boost to global markets:

✅ Stocks rose
📉 Oil tumbled
📉 Bond yields dropped
💵 Dollar softened

However, this rally’s sustainability depends on the durability of the ceasefire and Iran’s next moves.
If peace holds, markets may enter a period of steady growth. If not, volatility could return quickly.

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