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RBA interest rate July 2025

RBA Interest Rate July 2025 Holds at 3.85%

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to hold the interest rate steady at 3.85% in July 2025, surprising markets and reflecting a cautious approach amid easing inflation and uncertain economic conditions. This decision by the RBA in July 2025 underscores its focus on balancing inflation control with sustainable economic growth.


Key Takeaways:

  • The RBA holds the interest rate at 3.85%, against expectations of a cut, reflecting on interest rate decisions made in July 2025.
  • Inflation shows signs of easing but remains above target.
  • The Australian dollar strengthened following the announcement.
  • The board vote was split, indicating cautious sentiment.
  • Markets await upcoming inflation data for future guidance.


Why the RBA Held the Rate at 3.85%

RBA interest rate July 2025

Despite slowing inflation moving closer to the RBA’s target, the bank prefers to wait for more data before adjusting rates. The cautious stance aims to avoid premature rate cuts that might reignite inflation pressures while supporting moderate economic growth. July 2025 has been critical in shaping these interest rate expectations.

Read More: RBA Keeps Cash Rate Unchanged for Ninth Straight Meeting


Economic Snapshot 📊

IndicatorLatestPreviousTarget/Expected
Inflation (CPI, annual)4.1%4.3%2–3%
Unemployment Rate3.6%3.7%~4%
GDP Growth (QoQ)0.5%0.4%0.6%


Market and Consumer Impact

Maintaining the interest rate at 3.85% means borrowing costs stay steady, possibly moderating housing demand and spending. In July 2025, the Australian dollar strengthened after the announcement, while bond futures fell slightly. Consumers benefit from predictable loan repayments during uncertain times.

What’s Next?

The RBA will monitor upcoming inflation reports, especially the July quarterly CPI data, before its next meeting on August 12, 2025. This follows their interest rate decision in July 2025.

💬 What do you think about the RBA interest rate decision in July 2025? Comment below and share your views!

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