U.S. Shutdown & Global Market Outlook – Week 42, 2025
Markets begin the week cautiously optimistic as the U.S. government shutdown curtails economic data releases, leaving traders reliant on qualitative cues like the Fed’s Beige Book and housing sentiment reports. Real yields remain elevated, the U.S. dollar firm, and liquidity...
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Global Economic Outlook, October 2025
Global growth is heading into October on a shaky footing. Services are holding up reasonably well, but manufacturing remains uneven, and the pace of disinflation is losing steam. Central banks are treading carefully, the Fed is still leaning toward easing,...
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US labor data and EU inflation. Market needs more clarity.
Markets remain in search of clarity as U.S. labor data and Eurozone inflation loom large next week. The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate rising to 3.9% (from 3.3%) on strong consumer spending (+0.6%...
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U.S. inflation data and the People’s Bank of China’s monetary policy meeting, Markets in the week ahead!
In the United States, the economy remains uneven. Consumer demand is resilient—August retail sales rose 0.6%, buoyed by e-commerce and auto purchases—but industrial production and housing continue to lag. Housing starts fell 8.5% in August and permits have declined for...
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Central banks turn! How can FED, BoE and BoJ move the markets?
Central banks are pivoting as inflation cools unevenly, and growth softens. In the U.S., inflation has crept back toward ~3% while hiring slows after downward revisions. The Fed is poised to begin cuts in September, supporting Treasuries and leaving the...
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